Articles Archive: 2019

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Profiting & Protecting from The Greatest Market Threats, Cartel Interventions, and Fake Economic News — Part #2

An essential first step in Profiting and Protecting is obtaining Accurate information about the Economy, Markets, Interventions, Macro forecasts and indeed News in general.

We summarize here, but encourage investors and traders to further study the following

Gold & Silver—Interventionals All citizens should be or become aware of what educated Investors and Traders have long known: the Fed-led Cartel (see Note 1) of Mega-Banks has, for years, been suppressing the prices of these Precious Metals to keep investors in their Fiat Currencies & Treasury Securities (See gata.org for the overwhelming evidence). And for long periods (e.g., 2011-2018) these suppressions have been successful.

But 2019 has, for several Reasons seen the outright failure (albeit intermittently) of The Cartel’s Price Suppressions. Indeed, a long Silver Play Deepcaster recommended in early 2019 returned 60% profit in just five months! And Deepcaster has other such Recommendations “Working” with a Strategy aimed at nullifying the Intermittent Suppressions.

Interventionals – Other Sectors

Recently, The Fed conducted several nightly Injections into the Overnight Market because liquidity was drying up, manifested at one point by a spike to 10% in overnight Repo rates!! The last time such injections were implemented by The private, for-profit Fed was just before Lehman Brothers crashed in 2008. The Implications and Consequent Investor/Trader Recommended Actions are immensely important — see Deepcaster’s October, 2019 Letter for an exhaustive analysis and recommendation.

Fake Economic Statistics — Most Central Banks and Governments lie about Economic Data. To get accurate data about the USA (as opposed to the Bogus “Data” emanating from the BLS) we recommend Investors and Traders visit Shadowstats.com. Here is a chart comparing the most recent Shadowstats Data with the Bogus BLS Data

Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)

Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported September 12, 2019
1.75%     /    9.46%

U.S. Unemployment reported October 4, 2019
3.52%     /     20.90%

U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported September 26, 2019
2.28%       /     -1.92%

U.S. M3 reported September 6, 2019 (Month of August 2019 (e), Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report /(e) 6.24%  (i.e., total M3 Now at $20.032 Trillion!)

The Deep State of Data including “Social” Media Social Media distortions and outright censorship of Information and Positions with which they disagree has been and is a matter of increasingly serious concern. In Deepcaster’s view these Mega Media companies should be broken up by being subjected to rigorous application of antitrust law (ongoing attempts are in progress now in Congress and elsewhere).

Indeed, the future of Free Markets, Accurate Data, and most important, Political Freedom, is at stake (because increasingly, these social media platforms are the sources of “The” news and political views, the likes of Facebook and Google censor political views and other News with which they disagree or dislike. We must not let George Orwell’s prescient vision in 1984 become realized).

The Data Controllers Specifically consider the Data Controllers who generate and report data about the economy and markets, which put Investors and Traders in a position to Profit and Protect Wealth or suffer great losses.  This category includes but is not limited to, the aforementioned social media companies. There are indeed  other “Participants” in the Deep State — Globalist (as opposed to Internationalist) Mega-Bankers, complicit Globalist Governments, and Globalist Political Establishments (who generally hate and are actively opposing/attempting to discredit through their control, e.g., over the Mainstream Media, President Trump and Prime Minister Boris Johnson of the U.K. because they are Nationalists and Internationalists) have all been correctly identified as participants in The Globalist Deep State, but until very recently, The Deep State (member) of Data Controllers has not been widely identified, so we reprint excerpts of an excellent description.

The Deep State of Data

“Part One: The few control the many.

“Regardless of your background, socioeconomic status, or political spectrum, everything you do, everything you say, and everything you think is being subtly shaped by a “Deep State.” But the shadow organization I’m talking about isn’t a past or present administration. This isn’t the Alt-Right or Globalist Left. There’s no FBI or NSA faction trying to control your mind. No, the Deep State I’m referring to is the cabal of tech giants and data miners overtly and surreptitiously controlling what you see, whom you connect with, what you read, click, and care about.

“Some, like Google, Facebook and Twitter are doing this out in the open. They believe the American public either doesn’t know, doesn’t care, or simply believes they don’t have a choice. Others, including Equifax and lesser known companies, shy away from the spotlight. Their offices may not be in Silicon Valley, but they’re minting profits from your information—whether you consent or not. They do this with the permission and support of our elected leaders (at least until they screw it up), through complex Terms of Service, and sheer will—not only assimilating our culture, but defining it….

“The Deep State of Data is a convenient and comprehensive public-private partnership that exchanges information for access—access to services and utilities, access to other information, and even entire communities.

“Meanwhile, your personal information generates endless amounts of digital gold for them. Take Facebook, for example. Every status update, like, and comment you’ve ever typed (even those you never published), every place you logged in from, every Messenger conversation and photograph, is paired with other “offline” data about you, then sold and exploited for any number of purposes. And that’s just one platform.

“Your Facebook activity, Google searches, clicks, views, and retweets form the currency with which the Deep State of Data trades. They endlessly mine, store, and sell this data, supplementing it with information gathered by way of personal tracking devices (smartphones, smartwatches, and smart speakers) to collect and analyze your calls, messages, movements, habits, and influences, further fueling algorithms engineered to psychologically manipulate you.

“Artificial intelligence is shaping what you think and how you think about it, telling you not only what to buy, but how often you need it, promoting specific agendas, feeding you fake news, and taking increasingly aggressive steps to garner even greater control. [Emphasis added. Ed.]

“This isn’t a near-future dystopian scenario. It’s happening right now. People in power are using massive amounts of data collection, obfuscated algorithms, and AI to control and manipulate the public in subtle and unpredictable ways, and no one is outside of their reach….

 “The issue at hand is not one of bias, advertising, or even profiling, but control. Control over the how and the what, control over our personal information. It’s what many call “privacy” and though it’s quite easy to maintain in the real world (through intentional omission of information based on your social setting), protecting it in the digital world has become increasingly difficult—if not impossible.

“Mark Zuckerberg says “Users control their data” and that users “can leave anytime they want” but that is completely disingenuous. Look at the work involved to actually leave Facebook. And more concerning is “leaving Google” isn’t even an option. These are simple, bold, lies. The Deep State doesn’t want, or in Google’s case, doesn’t let us out. [Emphasis added. Ed.] Welcome to the Digital Hotel California.

“I’m not here to be defeatist however. There is a way out. We can take back control of our lives, our inputs, our safety, and our data—it all starts with one simple act: Owning our identity.”

Anonyome Labs

And Deepcaster recommends, in addition to “Owning our Identity” (e.g., by Opting out of Permitting use of private data or, better yet, by refusing to use Facebook & Google [there are alternatives as, e.g., using duckduckgo.com as one’s search engine. There are also alternative news sources, e.g., One America News on Television and for smartphones, e.g., 63red News which reviews Social and other Media.]). In addition to the ongoing push for Antitrust Action to be instituted against these monopolies in order to break them up, and, since they use the publicly provided/funded internet, favorable consideration be given to regulating them as Public Utilities and Publishers.

In sum, Deepcaster’s Analyses and recommendations go far beyond identifying, and indicating how to cope with the foregoing Miscreants and Fake Economic, Markets, Political and Cultural “News” which they generate. Our goal is to help Investors and Traders Protect and Profit from these “sources” and from what is coming. How?

Deepcaster’s 4-Factor Approach to Investing & Trading

While Deepcaster employs both Fundamental and Technical Analyses, it does not rely only on those two (e.g., at best, Technical Analyses provide only probabilities, not certainties) but also conducts Interventional Analysis of present and prospective  Interventions, usually disguised, into the Markets by the Cartel of Central Banks and complicit Governments and Financial Institutions.

As well, Deepcaster also factors in the effects of present and, especially, prospective Macro factors, one subspecies of which are Black Swans, as identified by Nassim Taleb, and other subspecies which include the Distortions implemented by Social Media and Data Controllers.

Accordingly, Deepcaster makes a variety of Key Recommendations based on all four of the aforementioned approaches, always mindful of Social Media and Data Controllers/Manufacturers’ Distortions certain of our recent Recommendation have Multi-hundred per cent Profit Potential,  see our Letters and Alerts.

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s Report, “Surmounting Impending Unavoidable Market Sectors Disasters for Profit and Protection” on the ‘Two Free Reports’ page at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation, and manipulation in other Markets. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.


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Profiting & Protecting from The Greatest Market Threats, Cartel Interventions, and Fake Economic News, Part #1

Deepcaster focuses here  on Profiting and Protecting moving into 2020 and beyond. This period will be quite unlike the relatively quiescent one beginning with the Great Crash of 2008 and “ending” in 2019. The approaching “High Volatility Era” (an understatement) will provide Investors and Traders  Opportunities for Great Profits and The Threat of Great Losses for the unprepared. And Deepcaster identifies those Opportunities and makes Buy Recos. What is coming Next is coming soon.

First consider how investors and traders have been, and are being, misled by Fake Economic and Markets News and why, and a brief overview of the likely future. After that, we provide sources of accurate information. We also demonstrate how Investment and Trading Decisions are often inadvertently wrongheaded due to repeated (and often Covert) Interventions in many Market Sectors (especially in the Precious Metals Sector) by a Globalist (as opposed to Nationalist or Internationalist) Cartel (the “Deep State”) composed of The Private for-profit Fed-led Cartel of Central and “private” Mega-Bankers and complicit Governments, Political Establishments and more recently, The Globalist Deep State of Media Information Controllers, all operating together in coalition, sometimes loose, sometimes formal, according to their interests. There is convincing evidence of the existence and powerful actions of that Cartel—see, for example, gata.org.

Deepcaster is not alone in making such contentions. Consider the views of former U.S. Representative, Ron Paul, and noted Swiss Investments Advisor, von Greyerz:

“It’s a fallacy to believe the US has a free market economy. The economy is run by a conglomerate of individuals and special interests, in and out of government, including the Deep State, which controls central economic planning. 

“Rigging the economy is required to prevent market forces from demanding a halt to the mistakes that planners continuously make. This deceptive policy can last only for a limited time. Ultimately, the market proves more powerful than government manipulation of economic events. The longer the process lasts, the greater the bubble that always bursts. The planners in charge have many tools to perpetuate confidence in an unstable system, but common sense should tell us that grave dangers lie ahead.

“Their policies strive to convince the unknowing that the dollar is strong and its status as the world’s reserve currency is secure, no matter how many new dollars they create of out of thin air. It is claimed that our foreign debt is always someone else’s fault and never related to our own monetary and economic mismanagement.”

“The Dollar Dilemma: Where to From Here?”, Ron Paul, Mises Institute, Auburn, Alabama, Friday, June 22, 2018 via GATA.org

Indeed! Deepcaster identifies the strengthening competition among the candidates to displace the $US for the Status as World’s Reserve Currency in his recent Letters.

And from von Greyerz:

“Brexit, Quitaly and Grexit. Debt Defaults, Stock Shocks, Bond Bubbles, Properties Popping, Derivative Defaults and Banks Busting.

“Well that is just some of the events that twill take place in the next few years.

“But the world is living in ignorant bliss of what is coming next. 

“As the song tells us:

‘Don’t worry, be happy now
Don’t worry.’ 

“Well this well-known song says it all. Risk in the world is growing exponentially but no one is worrying.

“Global debt out of control

“Global debt has trebled since 1999 from $80 trillion to $240+ trillion today. And since the Great Financial Crisis started in 2006, debts have doubled. But Don’t Worry be Happy!

“Stocks only rise due to money printing…

And von Greyerz correctly forecast (as did Deepcaster) why The Fed started and then had to stop QT in January 2019.

“But wait, these mental central bankers are now stopping to print money and embarking on another programme with a name that no one understands – Quantitative Tightening – QT. For us normal people, it means that rather than printing more money, they will actually reduce their debt.

“For some obscure reason, these central bankers seem to forget that it is only their money printing that artificially has kept the illusion up that All is Well on the Western Front, and also on the Eastern front of money printers like Japan and China.

“Stock, bond and property markets are totally ignoring what the effect of QT will be. Bullish investors are totally in denial of the fact that markets have only appreciated because of the biggest money printing and credit expansion in history. Once this stops, so will the bonanza in investment markets.

“Worst crash in history coming

“And the ride down is likely to be the worst in history. In 1929 to 1932 the Dow lost 90%. The coming fall will most certainly exceed that, as we today have a global credit and asset bubble which is substantially bigger than in 1929.

“… Investment markets have always been saved by central banks’ generous credit expansion. … 

“What nobody understands is that THIS TIME WILL BE DIFFERENT. Central bankers have run out of weapons to fight this phoney money war. …

“Central banks clearly understand that QE is not working. But do they understand the effect the coming massive liquidity squeeze will have on credit markets? Well, that is doubtful. It just isn’t possible to have an orderly wind down of the biggest credit bubble in history….

His reference to a liquidity squeeze was another “correct” forecast as was Deepcaster’s earlier forecast. Note that on April 28, 2019, Deep State Mega Bank, J. P. Morgan Chase, stated “We are fast approaching the point where banks run out of liquidity.” (zerohedge.com)

As fear takes hold on markets and the global financial system, the flight to safety will start. The problem is that there will be few safe assets. Stocks and bonds will crash and so will property, as interest rates surge and lenders tighten. And paper money will decline rapidly in value as central banks print unlimited amounts. …

“So protect yourself when there is still time and then ‘Don’t worry, be happy!’”

“FOLLOW SWISS PENSION FUND …,” Egon von Greyerz,
Zurich, Switzerland via lemetropolecafe.com

Deepcaster has been warning for months about the coming Stagflation which will likely worsen into the “Hyperinflationary Depression” of which we warn.

Of course, the Deep State’s Globalist Mega-Bankers and Allies who see it coming, will (and already are attempting to) protect themselves along the way.

Excluded, of course, are the Citizenry, including “Retail” Investors, and Small and Medium Size Investment Entities, i.e., those not “heavyweight enough, or connected enough, to be participants in The Mega-Profits of The Cartel/Deep State.

And it is these citizens, Retail Investors and Traders and Small and Medium Size Investment Entities which Deepcaster aims to help Profit and Protect. See our Specific Recommendations in our most recent Letters and Alerts! And Note especially that Deepcaster’s Recos are off to a Good Start in this “New Era” having just recommended taking 60% Profit on one position after just 5 months!

In Part #2 we offer our conclusions re the most accurate sources of information about the economy and markets, which put Investors and Traders in a superior position to profit and protect.

Then we briefly analyze the Great Markets Crash of 2008-2009, and other Crashes before that, including the Internet Bubble Burst of 2002 which provide crucially important lessons which are mainly unlearned or forgotten today.

We analyze those lessons learned and how to apply them going forward with the goal of helping Investors and Traders Profit and Protect Wealth.


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Record Major Moves Coming — Forecasts Overview & re Buy Recos

Deepcaster forecasts more intense Major Moves in Key Sectors in the next 18 months than in the prior 8 years, primarily because more hidden, or heretofore disregarded, Realities will Manifest themselves. Indeed, they have already begun, as borne out by the 60% Profit recently taken on a Silver Bull play which Deepcaster correctly forecast a full five months ago (well before most other forecasters).

Consider the Realities and their Consequences and Deepcaster’s Forecasts & Buy Recommendations for Profit and Protection.

  1. The Debt “Bomb” of at least $250 Trillion in unpayable (without currency devaluation) Sovereign, Business and Individuals Debts will begin to explode — see our recent Letters and Alerts for Analyses and Sector consequences and Forecasts, and Buy Recos.
  2. The worldwide Economic Boom of the last decade — built on easy money from the Central Banks — is ending. “Dr. Copper” is signaling this. To maintain their own Power and Benefits, the Globalist Mega-Banks facilitated Nations, Businesses and individuals in becoming excessively over-leveraged. The Eurozone, China, and most Emerging Market Nations’ economies will lead the way down the contraction path. And the Real Numbers show the USA is already on that path too (see Shadowstats, Note 2).
  3. Globalist Deep State Cartel (Note 1) Central Banks’ (of nearly all of the Big Ones—led by the private for-Profit Fed) policies are increasingly seen, correctly, as deleterious to the Citizenry. One Consequence: the Flight to Gold and Silver as Safe Havens is mainly the result of increasing acceptance of the view the Fed-led Cartel of Central Banks is out of control. A few months from now, the flight to the Precious Metals will accelerate as a result of the Inflation caused by the Central Banks resorting to QE in a (mainly futile) attempt to stimulate Economies. However, inflation has not yet reared its ugly head and likely will not for a few months more, because additional Fed (and other Central Banks) rates cuts will precede Fed QE.
  4. The Fiction (that) Unending Economic Growth (in throughput of physical things) is Possible and Desirable is gradually being dispelled by Ecological Realities. Unending Economic and Population Growth is not possible on a limited resource base (think Farmland and Potable Water [see balance.org]). Growth in knowledge and innovation are, of course, still possible.
  5. Fossil Fuel use is approaching limits. Our relatively record high level prosperity is built on increasing use of fossil fuels. Important to note is that half of all the Fossil Fuels used in all human history have been consumed in the last 29 years! (cf peakprosperity.com). Indeed, “Fracked “ Wells have much higher depletion rates than wells on more traditional Reservoirs (e.g., consider Salt Dunes). But, contrary to much “Groupthink” on the subject, the (green) energy sources pushed as alternatives have problems. Solar panels are expensive and energy-intensive to manufacture and polluting as they deteriorate. Wind Farms are Noisy and kill Birds. And they both require batteries which have the same negatives. Think of what is required to produce and dispose of all that acid.
  6. Globalist Entities Intensifying Counterattack with Consequent loss of Social Cohesion (e.g., the Mega-Bank owners of the private for-profit Fed (Note 1) and the European Central Bank) are increasingly being attacked (justifiably) by populist movements, e.g., the Brexiters in the U.K. and the Trump Voters in the USA and the Globalists are fighting back. The Deep State Globalists are Desperate to retain their power and income sources and therefore intensify and counterattack on the Brexiters and President Trump for their Nationalism and Internationalism.
  7. Nationalist Populists are also increasingly resisting the Globalistfacilitated Mass Immigration into the USA and Western Europe which the Globalists facilitate because it destroys National Unity and provides Cheap (to Globalists not the Taxpayers) Labor. See the Net Costs of LEGAL Immigration Study and The Solution at CarryingCapacity.org. By the way, there is no present or prospective U.S. Worker shortage (see cis.org).
  8. One fundamental Flaw of the Globalist Mega-Banker perspective is that they Treat their Fiat Currencies like the U.S. Dollar and Euro as wealth. But they are not wealth, but claims on Wealth — on Real World Commodities and other Tangible Assets like land are Real Wealth. And Bitcoin (etc) is not even a claim on Wealth because it is not a store of value.
  9. Real Wealth is therefore “Hard Assets.” And that Reality will become ever more evident as the Economies built on Fiat Currencies increasingly deteriorate and collapse. The Move into Hard Assets will intensify. See Deepcaster’s past and future Recommendations.
  10. The Mega-Bank Cartel has for years successfully suppressed the Price of Gold and Silver. But increasingly wide recognition of the aforementioned Realities (thanks in large part to GATA.org and others) has caused those Precious Metals to launch up despite ongoing suppression efforts which will still be intermittently successful. Though Gold and Silver will go much higher it is critical to Buy them in certain Forms and Not others, lest one becomes inadvertently complicit in the Cartel’s Price Suppression Efforts. See our Analyses and Buy Recommendations.
  11. The $US is under attack as the World Reserve Currency by Globalists and others and those attacks may well succeed to the Great Detriment of the U.S. Economy and Citizens and those holding Dollar-Denominated Assets. There are at least three Alternate Reserve Currency Candidates. We identify these and analyze their and the $US’s “Prospects” in recent Letters and Alerts.

 

Note 1: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s Report, “Surmounting Impending Unavoidable Market Sectors Disasters for Profit and Protection” on the ‘Two Free Reports’ page at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation, and manipulation in other Markets. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

 

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